Malaria control under unstable dynamics: Reactive vs. climate-based strategies

by Andres Baeza, Menno J. Bouma, Ramesh Dhiman et al.
Acta Tropica 129 (2014) 42-51

10 pp. 1.3 MB:
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001706X13000879/pdfft?md5=8a0714c2aee5268985909a6e0bf09359&pid=1-s2.0-S0001706X13000879-main.pdf

In areas of the world where malaria prevails under unstable conditions, attacking the adult vector population through insecticide-based Indoor Residual Spraying (IRS) is the most common method for controlling epidemics. The authors formulate a mathematical malaria model that couples epidemiologic and vector dynamics with IRS intervention. The results highlight the importance of incorporating information on climate variability, rather than previous incidence, in planning IRS interventions in regions of unstable malaria. These findings are discussed in the more general context of elimination and other low transmission regions such as highlands.

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