by Cyril Caminade, Sari Kovats, Joacim Rocklov et al.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) Early Edition (31 January 2014)
This study is the first multimalaria model intercomparison exercise. This is carried out to estimate the impact of future climate change and population scenarios on malaria transmission at global scale and to provide recommendations for the future. The results indicate that future climate might become more suitable for malaria transmission in the tropical highland regions. However, other important socioeconomic factors such as land use change, population growth and urbanization, migration changes, and economic development will have to be accounted for in further details for future risk assessments.