by Sarbjit Nahal and Beijia Ma
Merrill Lynch Research, 26 September 2014
As the current Ebola outbreak shows, the risk of a pandemic spreading globally is a question of “when” rather than “if”. The threat of a global pandemic is arguably higher than at any time in human history with risk factors including: globalisation, demographics, climate change, “zoonoses”, unknown pathogens and re-emerging diseases, antimicrobial and antibacterial resistance, and laboratory escapes and bioterrorism. In this report, the authors outline the risk factors around 16 potential pandemics.