Future and potential spending on health 2015–40: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries

by Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network
The Lancet, Vol. 389, No. 10083, pp. 2005–2030, 20 May 2017

26 pp. 6.1 MB
http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(17)30873-5.pdf

The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affect access to health care and health outcomes. Although health spending tends to increase with economic development, tremendous variation exists among health financing systems. In this study, the authors estimate future gross domestic product (GDP), all-sector government spending, and health spending disaggregated by source, and they compare expected future spending to potential future spending. They conclude that health spending is associated with economic development but past trends and relationships suggest that spending will remain variable, and low in some low-resource settings. Policy change could lead to increased health spending, although for the poorest countries external support might remain essential.

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