On the pace of fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa

by David Shapiro and Andrew Hinde
Demographic Research, Vol. 37, pp. 1327,1338, Published 24 October 2017

14 pp. 333 kB
https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol37/40/37-40.pdf

The data shows clearly that fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa, still at a comparatively early stage, has been considerably slower than the earlier declines in Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Northern Africa at comparable stages of the transition, and displays less within-region heterogeneity than the transitions in these other regions. The slower pace of fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa, in conjunction with the high current fertility levels in the region, means that in the absence of policies seeking to accelerate fertility decline, sub-Saharan Africa will continue to experience rapid population growth that in turn will constrain its development.

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